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August 30, 2008

Dillard

Filed under: legal — Tags: , — ManInBlack @ 10:44 am

Dillard’s will close its store at the Palm Beach Mall. The retailer said on Friday it will be laying off 109 employees by Oct. 31.

It’s one of 14 locations nationwide that Dillard’s (NYSE: DDS) plans to close. The Little Rock, Ark.-based company operates in 29 states.

Dillard’s also said Friday it will close its travel agency business as part of the company’s strategy of reducing its underperforming units.

Dillard’s is working to relocate the 160 associates who work in the agencies, which are in 43 of the company’s 318 stores paydayloan. The agencies are no longer booking new travel arrangements, but will honor pending travel bookings.

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August 29, 2008

European Economic Confidence Drops, Inflation Eases

Filed under: finance — Tags: , , — ManInBlack @ 1:00 pm

Europeans' confidence in the economic outlook fell more than economists forecast this month as the economy teetered on the brink of a recession. Inflation unexpectedly slowed.

An index of executive and consumer sentiment dropped to 88.8 from 89.5 in July, the European Commission in Brussels said today. That is below the 89.3 median estimate of 26 economists surveyed by Bloomberg News. Inflation fell to 3.8 percent from 4 percent last month and consumers' outlook on prices plunged.

The euro pared gains after the reports, which signaled the slump in economic growth is extending through the third quarter and a 20 percent drop in oil prices from a record $147.27 a barrel last month is easing inflation pressures. Consumer-price increases are still above the European Central Bank's limit, prompting policy makers including Axel Weber to indicate they are in no hurry to cut interest rates even as expansion slows.

“The euro-zone economic situation is deteriorating markedly,'' said Carsten Brzeski, an economist at ING Group in Brussels. “Therefore, it is somewhat striking that some central bankers still consider interest rates to be accommodative.''

Economists had forecast that inflation would remain at 4 percent, a 16-year high, in August, according to the median estimate of 31 economists in a Bloomberg News survey. National data this week showed inflation in Germany, Europe's largest economy, Spain and Belgium eased this month.

European Bonds

The euro was up 0.2 percent to $1.4731 against the dollar as of 10:12 a.m. in London, having been as high as $1.4767 earlier. European bonds extended gains, with the yield on the German 1-year bund falling 4 basis points to 4.14 percent today. It's down 21 basis points since the start of the month cash advance.

The ECB, which aims to keep inflation just below 2 percent, raised its key interest rate to 4.25 percent on July 3, a seven- year high. While the central bank left the rate on hold this month, ECB Executive Board member Lorenzo Bini Smaghi said in a Bloomberg Television interview broadcast today that inflation is “too high'' and must be brought below the bank's ceiling.

Still, most investors have pared bets on the ECB raising rates again as the economic outlook worsens, Eonia forward contracts show. The May contract yielded 4.15 percent today, down from 4.44 percent a month ago.

The 15-nation euro-area economy shrank in the second quarter while the region's manufacturing and service industries contracted in August. Factory orders in Germany have dropped for the past seven months.

Consumer Confidence

Confidence among euro-area manufacturers fell more than economists forecast to minus 10 this month from minus 8 in July, while sentiment among retailers also declined, according to today's report from the commission. Consumer confidence rose 1 point from July's minus 20, staying close to a 5 1/2-year low. In the U.K., consumer confidence stayed near a record low in August, GfK NOP said today in a separate report.

In the euro area, unemployment remained at 7.3 percent in July, another report showed.

European companies and consumers see less chance of prices rising, the data indicate. A measure of companies' selling-price expectations fell to 17 in August from 20 in July. Consumers' outlook for prices dropped to 22 from 30, below its average reading for the past 18 years.

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August 22, 2008

Paulson Might Weigh Whom to Hurt in Any Fannie, Freddie Rescue

Filed under: marketing — Tags: , , — ManInBlack @ 2:31 pm

Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson's response to the sinking fortunes of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac might boil down to picking which investors get hurt and by how much.

At stake if Paulson does intervene: the fate of worldwide bondholders of $5.2 trillion of agency and mortgage-backed debt and scores of large banks, insurers and pension funds that own the firms' common and preferred shares.

Paulson's choices probably include buying Fannie's and Freddie's bonds, a special class of preferred shares or preferred shares convertible into common stock, analysts and investors said. The terms and conditions of any purchases would put the government ahead of other creditors and stockholders, while ensuring that bondholders are protected, they said.

“He's had zero clarity on this whole issue, and until the market knows where Hank's going to be in the capitalization structure, then it gets worse not better,'' said Paul McCulley, a fund manager at Pacific Investment Management Co., which has the world's largest bond fund.

“The presumption'' is that holders of the government- chartered companies' subordinated bonds “will be covered,'' McCulley said in an interview on Bloomberg Television from Jackson Hole, Wyoming. Common shareholders would be wiped out, he predicted.

Emergency Power

Paulson got the power to make purchases of the two companies' debt or equity in legislation enacted July 30 that was aimed at shoring up confidence in the beleaguered mortgage- finance companies.

The Treasury chief could also forego using that authority, and wait until Fannie Mae's and Freddie Mac's capital is so eroded that regulators can put them into receivership.

“I don't think they'll do half-measures if it means using taxpayer funds,'' said Andrew Laperriere, managing director at International Strategy & Investment Group, a money management and research firm in Washington.

“That requires steps including complete control,'' said Laperriere, who used to work as chief economic adviser to former Republican House Majority Leader Richard Armey.

Paulson telephoned Senate Banking Committee members this week to tell them the Treasury is closely monitoring the situation and, for now, doesn't plan to inject taxpayer funds, according to a Senate aide who spoke on condition of anonymity.

Assuring Lawmakers

“We are staying on top of the situation and communicating with the companies and their regulators,'' Treasury spokeswoman Jennifer Zuccarelli said.

Meanwhile, “top executives'' at Freddie Mac “have been talking with many potential investors this week,'' said Sharon McHale, a spokeswoman for the McLean, Virginia-based company.

Shares in Washington-based Fannie have dropped 60 percent and those of Freddie have lost 64 percent since July 30 quick payday loan.

“Private shareholders should be concerned,'' said Edwin Truman, a senior fellow at the Peterson Institute for International Economics in Washington and a former official at the Treasury and the Federal Reserve. Traders “will drive the price of the stocks down to nickels and dimes,'' at which point Paulson will step in, he predicted.

Truman forecast the Treasury would end Fannie and Freddie dividend payments, with officials taking over management.

Fannie, the largest mortgage-finance provider, was created in the 1930s and became a publicly owned company in 1968. Freddie was started in 1970. Designed to boost homeownership, the companies issued debt to finance purchases of mortgages and package home loans into bonds sold on to investors.

Banks at Risk

Their debt is held by companies including MetLife Inc., the largest U.S. life insurer, American Equity Investment Life Holding Co., and GE Asset Management Inc. Preferred shares are held by banks from Philadelphia-based Sovereign Bancorp to Frontier Financial Corp. of Everett, Washington.

As mortgage defaults climbed, concern mounted Fannie and Freddie lacked sufficient capital. Paulson asked Congress for emergency powers to shore up support for the firms.

If either company has trouble selling bonds to finance maturing debt, Paulson's hand may be pressed. They have about $20 billion of unsecured debt due on average every week, with more than $220 billion maturing by the end of next month.

A takeover could also be triggered if either company fails to meet its regulatory capital standards, to be released by the Federal Housing Finance Agency next month.

`Act Soon'

“Treasury might be forced to act soon to fight a market- psychology problem instead of being able to act on its own time,'' said Joshua Rosner, an analyst with independent research firm Graham Fisher & Co. in New York.

There's no consensus about how widespread the losses would be in an intervention. Pete Davis, president of Davis Capital Investment, an independent advisory firm in Washington, argued that both equity and subordinated bondholders wouldn't be protected, with owners of mortgage-backed securities and senior debt kept secure.

Davis wrote in a note yesterday that Paulson will probably aim to put off using taxpayer funds as long as Fannie and Freddie are still able to fund the U.S. mortgage market.

“Paulson does not want his legacy to be that he committed $50 billion or more of taxpayer money to bailing out the'' firms, Davis wrote.

Source

August 20, 2008

URS buys LopezGarcia Group

Filed under: economics — Tags: , , — ManInBlack @ 11:07 am

A San Francisco company has purchased LopezGarcia Group Inc., one of Dallas’ most recognizable engineering firms.

URS Corp. (NYSE: URS) bought the 200-employee firm, said Wendy Lopez, co-founder and CEO of LopezGarcia, who will remain with the firm as leader of its Texas initiative with a title of vice president.

Both LopezGarcia and URS declined to disclose financial terms, although Lopez said it was an all-cash deal.

The LopezGarcia name is expected to disappear eventually, but for now the five LopezGarcia offices will answer the phones as URS/LopezGarcia. LopezGarcia has offices in Dallas, Fort Worth, Houston, Austin and Amarillo.

“We are about to celebrate 20 years in the business, and we’ve had a really good run,” Lopez said. “The company is doing great. There was no reason prompting us (to sell), but I see our industry changing, and the firms are getting bigger … and the projects are getting bigger.”

Lopez said the firm was having trouble growing beyond its regional size, and also saw the consolidation trend developing.

URS approached LopezGarcia, said Lopez, who said talks commenced about a possible merger about a year ago.

“Sometimes you are limited by your resources,” she said. “In a larger organization, it will create some larger opportunities for our employees. If someone wants to work in Hong Kong, we’ve got an office there.”

URS’ Vincent Provenza, senior vice president and regional business unit manager for URS Corp. in New Orleans, said URS wanted a bigger Texas presence, he said.

“URS has always felt that Texas, because of its quality of life and economy … would continue to grow in population and this growth in population would necessitate new infrastructure in power, transportation and water resources. These are all the things that URS focuses on.”

The state has been consistently a top issuer of government bonds, which are used to fund infrastructure projects credit report. In the first quarter of 2008, the state issued $11.1 billion in bonds, according to URS.

Provenza said URS looked at more than 100 firms to find one that shared its culture and focused on the state and local infrastructure market.

URS has had a presence in North Texas since the 1960s, mainly through acquistions of local firms. About a year ago, it began a Texas initiative to grow its clout in the Lone Star State. Its Texas projects have included work on a downtown Dallas Area Rapid Transit line, planning work for the Dallas/Fort Worth International Airport and environmental planning for the Texas Commission on Environmental Quality, a state agency.

Lopez said she’ll lead URS’ Texas initiative going forward, working to raise the firm’s profile in the state to grab more market share.

LopezGarcia’s projects have included the mechanical, electrical and plumbing design services for the new Dallas Cowboys stadium, program management services for D/FW Airport and engineering design services for U.S. 290 in Houston. In July, Lopez was named one of the area’s most influential women in business by the Dallas Business Journal.

URS will move out of its offices at 3010 LBJ Freeway in the Graystone Centre and move into the InfoMart, where LopezGarcia offices. No layoffs are expected, Lopez said.


Dallas Business Journal


Source

August 19, 2008

Mephisto steps into Seattle

Filed under: term — Tags: , , — ManInBlack @ 3:23 pm

Luxury French shoemaker Mephisto is stepping into downtown Seattle with a new store.

Michael LaMoria, who operates the Mephisto store in Bellevue Square, is opening his second location on the northeast corner of University Street and Fourth Avenue across from the Fairmont Olympic hotel this September.

The 601-square-foot space that Mephisto is occupying has been vacant for several years.



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August 18, 2008

South Korea

Filed under: marketing — Tags: , , — ManInBlack @ 11:59 am

South Korea's department store sales increased at the slowest pace in five months in July, adding to evidence that economic growth is cooling.

Sales at the nation's three biggest chains rose 5.9 percent from a year earlier, easing from June's 11.2 percent gain, the Ministry of Knowledge Economy said in Gwacheon today.

Households, struggling with surging living costs, have reined in purchases of non-essential goods, which may erode earnings at retailers such as Lotte Shopping Co. Moderating spending will further cool an economy that grew at the slowest annual pace in more than a year last quarter.

“Consumer spending will likely remain weak for a while on the weak labor market and higher fuel and borrowing costs,'' said Go You Sun, an economist at Daewoo Securities Co. in Seoul. “Sentiment may start to improve as oil prices are falling.''

The Kospi stock index has dropped 17 percent this year as Asia's fourth-largest economy shows signs of cooling. Shares in Lotte Shopping, the nation's largest department store operator, have fallen 28 percent in 2008, and those in Hyundai Department Store Co., the second biggest, have slumped 26 percent payday loans.

Consumer confidence declined to the lowest level in eight years in July. The economy expanded 4.8 percent last quarter from a year earlier, the slowest pace since the start of 2007. The jobless rate was 3.2 percent last month, up from 3 percent at the start of the year.

Prices Surge

Spiraling food and fuel prices are eating into household budgets. Consumer prices climbed 5.9 percent in July, the biggest gain since 1998.

The Bank of Korea lifted its benchmark interest rate to an eight-year high of 5.25 percent this month, the first increase in a year, to quell inflation.

Spending on men's clothes fell 6.6 percent in July from last year, today's report showed. In contrast, sales of luxury goods at department stores gained 30.7 percent.

Sales at discount stores rose 2.1 percent last month from a year earlier, reversing a 1.9 percent drop in June.

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August 14, 2008

Europe Economy Probably Shrank for First Time Since Euro Debut

Filed under: term — Tags: , — ManInBlack @ 9:15 am

Europe's economy probably contracted in the second quarter for the first time since the launch of the euro almost a decade ago, a survey of economists shows.

Gross domestic product in the 15 nations that share the single currency shrank 0.2 percent from the first quarter, when it expanded 0.7 percent, according to the median estimate of 40 economists in a Bloomberg News survey. Germany's economy, the largest in the region, probably shrank the most since 1993, a separate survey shows.

European Central Bank President Jean-Claude Trichet said on Aug. 7 that growth will be “particularly weak'' through the third quarter. Manufacturing and services industries shrank for a second month in July and confidence in Europe's economy is at the lowest level in almost 15 years.

“Even allowing for the correction after the strong first quarter, it could be even weaker than people expect,'' said Simon Barry, an economist at Ulster Bank Ltd. in Dublin. “And the underlying weakness means the economy has considerably less momentum heading into the third quarter.''

Italy's economy, the third-biggest in the euro region, unexpectedly shrank in the April-June period, edging closer to a fourth recession in a decade, according to data published Aug. 8. GDP fell 0.3 percent, compared with economists' expectations for stagnation.

German Slump

German GDP probably shrank 0.8 percent in the three months through June, according to the median estimate of 41 economists in a Bloomberg survey, after expanding 1.5 percent in the previous quarter. In France and Spain, the pace of expansion also slowed in the second quarter, separate surveys show.

The German data will be published at 8 a.m. today, followed by France and Spain. The euro-area figures are scheduled to be released at 11 a.m.

An index measuring the economic climate in the region dropped to the lowest since 1993, the Munich-based Ifo institute said yesterday. Measures of both current conditions and expectations declined, according to Ifo's quarterly World Economic Survey.

Trichet, speaking last week after the ECB kept its benchmark rate at 4.25 percent, said the central bank has “no bias'' on interest rates and he removed a reference from his introductory statement to “moderate, ongoing growth.''

Orders Dry Up

German factory orders have fallen for the past seven months and dropped the most in a year in June, according to figures published last week faxless payday advances. An index of European manufacturing and services activity fell to 47.8 last month from 49.3 in June, where below 50 indicates a decline. The level is “consistent'' with zero economic growth, according to Barry at Ulster Bank.

As euro-area companies grapple with cooling orders, they are also contending with soaring costs for energy and raw materials and the euro's 9 percent advance against the dollar in the past year. European inflation quickened to 4.1 percent last month, more than twice the ECB's 2 percent limit, according to a first estimate published July 31. The final consumer-price data for July is also scheduled to be released at 11 a.m.

Diemen, Netherlands-based CSM NV, the world's largest supplier of ingredients to bakeries, yesterday said price increases will hurt sales in the U.S. and delayed a profitability goal. Italian washing-machine maker Indesit Co. said July 30 that 2008 earnings will be lower than last year's, citing the “very strong effect of exchange rates.''

While crude oil has dropped more than $30 since hitting a record $147 a barrel last month, prices are still almost 60 percent higher than a year ago. The gloomier growth outlook, and the ECB's acknowledgement that growth may not pick up as early as it previously expected, has prompted investors to start to price in interest-rate reductions.

Rate Expectations

Yields on Eonia forward contracts, a widely used market gauge of interest-rate expectations, have fallen in the past month. The yield on the March contract dropped to 4.12 percent yesterday from 4.38 percent. The euro has dropped 6.2 percent against the dollar in the same period and fell below $1.50 this week for the first time in more than five months.

JPMorgan Chase & Co. yesterday lowered its forecast for economic growth and predicted the ECB will cut its benchmark rate three times next year to 3.5 percent, starting in the first quarter. It previously forecast the ECB would keep borrowing costs on hold through 2009.

The economy is facing “stagnation or a low growth rut, similar to what happened in the region after the bursting of the equity bubble in 2000,'' said David Mackie, chief European economist at JPMorgan. “The forecast now anticipates a reasonably extended period of growth below potential.''

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August 12, 2008

US Airways to introduce

Filed under: technology — Tags: , — ManInBlack @ 9:54 pm

Now that US Airways Group Inc. has put a price on everything — from sodas to snacks — the airline is giving you a new way to pay for it.

Starting early next year, its flight attendants will be outfitted with hand-held credit-card machines.

"It’s more convenient for our customers," said Michelle Mohr, a US Airways spokeswoman. "We realize consumers these days aren’t going to have a pocket full of cash. We want to move to a cashless cabin."

Last week, the Tempe, Ariz.-based airline began charging $1 for coffee and hot tea, and $2 for soft drinks and water. It is the carrier’s latest move to boost revenue as it struggles to make money with high fuel prices and softening demand.

The cost of jet fuel has increased more than 90 percent over the last year and more than 200 percent since 2000.

US Airways also charges for checked luggage, curbside-checked luggage and call-center reservations. The a la carte pricing is expected to bring in up to $500 million annually.

The airline, the seventh-largest serving Baltimore/Washington International Thurgood Marshall Airport, has been testing hand-held credit-card devices for several months. US Airways declines to say how much it is investing, but it expects to sign a contract with a vendor soon. It then takes 12 weeks to receive the machines, which are about the size of a TV remote control bad credit payday loan.

Several other airlines — including Delta Air Lines Inc. (NYSE: DAL), American Airlines (NYSE: AMR) and JetBlue Airways Corp. (NASDAQ: JBLU) — already use the machines. "We’re behind the curve on this," Mohr said.

When America West Airlines and US Airways (NYSE: LCC) merged in September 2005, such capital expenditures hadn’t been in the picture, Mohr said.

Mike Flores, a spokesman for the Association of Flight Attendants, which represents US Airways’ flight attendants, said the devices could lead to the airline charging for more amenities such as blankets and pillows.

Flores said he hasn’t heard too many complaints from customers but also hasn’t seen much demand.

Each flight brings in a few hundred dollars in beverage sales, Mohr said.



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August 11, 2008

China Producer-Price Inflation Is Fastest Since 1996

Filed under: term — Tags: , , — ManInBlack @ 10:10 am

China's producer prices climbed at the fastest pace since 1996 on energy and commodity costs, underscoring the risk of a rebound in consumer-price inflation.

Factory-gate prices rose 10 percent in July from a year earlier, the statistics bureau said today, after gaining 8.8 percent in June. That was more than the 9 percent median estimate of 15 economists surveyed by Bloomberg News.

China's government has tweaked policies toward stimulating growth rather than cooling prices after inflation eased from February's 12-year high as food-price gains eased. Today's number may make policy makers more cautious after they loosened bank lending quotas, raised tax rebates for some exporters and halted gains by the yuan.

Producer prices pose “a strong upside risk to consumer- price inflation growth,'' said Sherman Chan, a Sydney-based economist at Moody's Economy.com. “In the next few months, the authorities will likely further tighten monetary policy and impose price curbs.''

The yuan traded at 6.8648 as of 11:39 a.m. in Shanghai, from a close of 6.8588 on Aug. 8.

The surge in producer prices isn't likely to flow through to consumer prices “soon'' because of the extremely competitive market for goods, Zhang Liqun, a senior research fellow at the State Council's Development Research Center, said in an e-mailed statement.

Zhang said the gain was the biggest since 1996. Bloomberg data goes back to 1999.

Consumer Goods

So far, manufacturers are absorbing most of the higher prices, rather than passing them on to consumers payday loans. Producer prices of consumer goods rose 4.6 percent in July from a year earlier, the least in six months.

Consumer prices rose 7.1 percent in June from a year earlier, down from 8.7 percent in February.

China raised last month lending quotas for banks and increased tax rebates on exports of textiles and garments as export growth cooled. The yuan has fallen 0.2 percent against the dollar this quarter after gaining 4.2 percent in the first quarter and 2.3 percent in the second.

The world's fourth-largest economy expanded 10.1 percent in the second quarter from a year earlier, down from 10.6 percent in the three months through March.

The producer price of crude oil jumped 41 percent in July from a year earlier after rising 36 percent in June, the statistics bureau said. Ferrous metals climbed 31 percent after gaining 29 percent.

Fuel, Electricity prices

China raised state-controlled fuel and electricity prices in June and July.

Tumbling commodity prices have increased the likelihood of producer-price inflation slowing in coming months.

Crude oil fell below $115 a barrel on Aug. 8 for the first time since May. The Bloomberg Constant Maturity Commodity Index dropped 3.3 percent to 1,420.62, the lowest since March 20.

“The recent sharp falls in many commodity prices suggest that these upstream inflation pressures may be at a peak,'' said Mark Williams, a London-based economist at Capital Economics Ltd.

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August 9, 2008

Yahoo, responding to Congress, changes ad options for users

Filed under: management — Tags: , — ManInBlack @ 1:01 am

Responding to a Congressional inquiry, web portal Yahoo Inc. will let its users decline to see targeted, customized advertisements on the site.

Sunnyvale-based Yahoo (NASDAQ: YHOO), like other online portals, has sought to gather information about people using its site and to aim specific ads at them based on that knowledge. This lets the company charge advertisers more because Yahoo can guarantee them the target audience they want.

The House Energy and Commerce Committee asked 33 companies for information about customized ads, and Yahoo made this opt-out choice available as a result. Users will have this option by the end of the month.

Anne Toth, Yahoo's head of privacy, said "the trust of ours users is our greatest asset."

In a letter to John Dingell, the chairman of the committee, Yahoo said its users often want to receive targeted ads. "Consumers have and continue to respond strongly to Internet products and services that are customized to their interests," the letter said cash advance flexible payments.

Yahoo also said that targeted ads like those it sells allow small businesses "to gain a foothold on the Internet."

Most of Yahoo's revenue comes from advertising. In the quarter ended March 31 $1.6 billion, or 87 percent, of Yahoo's $1.8 billion in revenue came from "marketing services" — display advertising and sponsored search ads as well as what the company calls "Content Match links," which are customized ads aimed at specific users.



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