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April 30, 2012

Doomsday scenario draws nearer for Social Security

Filed under: business, loans — Tags: , , , — ManInBlack @ 2:44 am

If you’re in your mid-40s, you should expect an unpleasant retirement surprise from Uncle Sam.

The Social Security trust fund is scheduled to run out of money in 2033, about when today’s 40-something workers hit retirement age. When that day arrives, all Social Security checks would have to be reduced by about 25 percent.

For most retirees, that’s a doomsday scenario. A 25 percent cut would leave them unable to pay their everyday bills.

Unfortunately, doomsday keeps drawing closer. As recently as 2005, the Social Security trustees thought insolvency was 47 years in the future. Their latest report, issued last week, moved it up 3 years, and it’s now just 22 years away.

The recession, which caused a drop in payroll tax revenue and forced some people to retire earlier than they had planned, played a major role in eroding the system’s finances. In the past year, the trustees said, workers’ hours – and thus the taxes they paid – didn’t grow as fast as had been projected.

If the job market remains weak for a couple more years – which wouldn’t surprise a lot of economists – we’ll keep moving closer to Social Security’s moment of crisis.

Congress, however, doesn’t seem to feel the urgency. As has been said often, some relatively small tweaks now could make it solvent for 75 years or more. Plenty of reasonable fixes have been proposed, but all of them can be labeled as a combination of tax increases and benefit cuts.

Republicans balk at tax increases, and Democrats refuse to accept benefit cuts, so nothing gets done.

The Simpson-Bowles deficit cutting plan of 2010, for instance, proposed gradually raising the full retirement age from 67 to 69 and the early retirement age from 62 to 64. It also would have increased the amount of income that is subject to payroll taxes, and made future inflation adjustments less generous.

It also would have made Social Security more progressive, making steeper cuts for wealthier retirees while protecting the poor. Simpson-Bowles was a sensible package, but it was pronounced dead on arrival. Congress would rather risk long-term calamity than make some politically unpopular choices.

The trustees’ report contains some good arguments for acting soon. For one thing, the disability portion of the trust fund is headed for exhaustion in 2016. Congress can address that insolvency by moving money from the old-age fund, but it may as well look for a comprehensive solution instead of a Band-Aid.

The report also makes clear that the necessary combination of benefit cuts and tax increases will be about 50 percent larger if we wait 20 years to address the problem.

How do we convince Congress to make those relatively small tweaks now? Josh Gordon, policy director at the bipartisan Concord Coalition, thinks the debate should focus on Social Security’s negative cash flow instead of on a faraway insolvency date.

Social Security added $45 billion to the deficit last year, and that amount will rise sharply by the end of this decade as Baby Boomers retire. “It really is a federal budget urgency,” Gordon said. “If we wait 20 or 30 years to make changes, there will be too much debt growth.”

Perhaps we need a law that would divert all congressional salaries and benefits into the Social Security trust fund when it becomes insolvent. It wouldn’t be enough to solve the problem, but might be enough to spur action.

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April 23, 2012

China May Ease Lending-Rate Controls First, Zhou Says - Bloomberg

Filed under: business, economics — Tags: , , , — ManInBlack @ 2:32 pm

China may first relax controls on borrowing costs and widen the

April 20, 2012

Woman-owned forklift company does the heavy lifting

Filed under: business, economics — Tags: , , , — ManInBlack @ 9:16 am

Ever known a woman who drives a forklift?

Neither has Melinda Barbaglia. She has yet to meet one, even though she and her sister sell, service and stock replacement parts for forklift trucks.

“They didn’t teach Forklift 101 at Webster University,” said Barbaglia, who holds a graduate degree in marketing from the school.

A recent Post-Dispatch story that detailed how other cities are outpacing St. Louis in the growth of businesses owned by women struck a chord, for obvious reasons, with Barbaglia. She agrees that female entrepreneurs have been held back by a shortage of support from state and local governmental interests. And she can also make an argument that, to a lesser degree, a male-dominated business community is slow to lose its grip.

At the same time, Barbaglia, her sister Teresa Pippen and mother, Linda, can make a pretty strong case for the ability of a business owned and operated by women to flourish in a good ol’ boy network.

Of the two sisters, Melinda was the one without a single intention of joining C&B Lift Truck Service — the company their father, Charlie, started from scratch 36 years ago.

Degree in hand, Melinda was about to launch a career in pharmaceutical sales when her father suggested he could use an extra hand at C&B.

She reported to work soon after and has been there ever since.

Charlie Barbaglia ran C&B up till the day he and the family celebrated his 60th birthday in 2005.

“He must have thought it was a retirement party, because he never came back to work,” laughs Linda Barbaglia.

“So, I said, ‘I guess we’re on our own, girls.’”

Fortunately, Melinda and Teresa were already immersed in the business.

Melinda, the “take charge” extrovert, applied her education by working the sales and marketing end.

To compensate for the absence of Forklift 101 in the Webster course catalog, Melinda indoctrinated herself in the nuances of pneumatic tires, monotrol transmissions and liquid petroleum to the point that she’s qualified to serve as an instructor in the mandatory safety courses OSHA demands of forklift operators.

Teresa, an introvert with a communications degree from Maryville University, was more than happy to handle bookkeeping and the office side of the business.

C&B’s seven other employees (including service manager Charlie Pippen, the service manager) are all men.

The Barbaglias admit that running a business in what remains a man’s world is not always easy.

For starters, not to stereotype, neither sister plays golf.

As for the other topic that breaks the ice among men — such as sports — the lifelong St. Louisans by necessity can be semi-conversant should the conversation turn to the fortunes of the Cardinals, Blues or Rams. But don’t expect them to tell you how many Detroit Tigers Bob Gibson struck out in the 1968 World Series. The vast majority of the company’s male clients “take their jobs very seriously,” Melinda said.

“They just want their forklift fixed,” Teresa added.

But some of them can be flirtatious, Melinda said.

A lot of years remain before the sisters retire. Melinda is 42 and Teresa is 36.

Still, looking ahead as she cradled Melinda’s 3-month-old daughter Abigail, Linda Barbaglia is fairly sure the second generation of Barbaglias to run C&B Fork Lift Truck Service will be the last.

Linda says the business that has sustained her family for 36 years is fast moving toward the day that favors neither male nor female — when robots take the wheel.

 

QUOTE OF THE WEEK

“I was offered an unpaid internship at a law firm but turned it down. If you can’t pay me $10 an hour, you don’t deserve to be in business. The job market makes me feel like stabbing myself in the face. - Adrienne Delibert, unemployed college graduate

Source: The New York Times

BY THE NUMBERS

37 percent of U.S. companies vet job candidates through social networking sites.

15 percent of U.S. employers prohibit the practice.

Source: CareerBuilder

FINAL WORD

“… While my Facebook page is private, my friends do include plenty of people I’ve worked with or for, or might hope to work with or for in the future. I also take it as given that any potential future employer or reference would use all the available tools to check me out – including finding out who we know in common via social networks.

And I think the effects can be subtle: Future employer X calls colleague Y to ask about me; colleague Y checks Facebook to get the latest….and instead of a link to a story I’m proud of, or even a video I find funny, he finds a photo of me and my baby boy making snuggly faces.

Whether he’s consciously wondering when, if ever, I’m going back to work or how dedicated I’ll be when I get there, I’ll never know. But I’d rather not wonder.” - Janet Paskin on a possible pitfall of TMI.

Source: The Wall Street Journal

 

 

Source

April 16, 2012

Upbeat US indicators help markets recover

Filed under: business, legal — Tags: , , , — ManInBlack @ 7:35 pm

Upbeat U.S. economic indicators helped stock markets rise on Monday, offsetting concerns about Spain, which had seen its borrowing rates jump on fears it will eventually need a bailout.

The Commerce Department said U.S. retail sales rose 0.8 percent in March despite a strong increase in gas prices. Retail sales hit a record high of $411.1 billion, 24 percent higher than the recession low in March 2009.

The figures are important for global markets because U.S. consumer spending is a major driver of growth. Signs that the U.S. economy was recovering had helped markets post strong gains earlier this year, before hitting a soft patch in the past month.

Monday’s strong data also encouraged investors look past the flare-up in the debt crisis in the 17-nation eurozone.

Spain’s 10-year bond yield, the rate the country would pay if it were to tap markets for money, jumped to 6.10 percent on Monday, from about 5.90 percent on Friday, but eased back to 5.96 percent by mid-afternoon.

Yields rose in other financially shaky countries like Italy, but Spain was the focus as investors consider it the next weakest link in Europe.

The country is caught between the needs to lower debt by cutting spending and to boost growth by investing. Above all, if Spain were to need a bailout, Italy would be severely destabilized as well. The eurozone bailout funds, totaling (EURO)800 billion, would be too small to rescue both.

“The fiscal spotlight has refocused on the considerable challenges facing Spain,” analysts at Capital Economics wrote in a note to clients.

The focus will remain this week on Spain, which will hold government bond auctions on Tuesday and Thursday. Any signs that investors are shying away from the country’s bonds would likely increase tensions and push Madrid’s borrowing rates even higher.

At the end of the week, the International Monetary Fund will hold a global conference in Washington, where European government officials are expected to push for an increase in the organization’s lending capacities to reassure investors it can help fight the eurozone crisis bad credit personal loan lenders. So far, major IMF members like the U.S. have been reluctant to infuse the fund with more money.

By mid-afternoon in Europe, Germany’s DAX was up 1.1 percent at 6,654.12 while France’s CAC 40 rose 1.3 percent to 3,231.21. Britain’s FTSE 100 was up 0.8 percent at 5,696.32. The euro fell 0.2 percent to $1.3038.

Wall Street gained on the open, with the Dow average up 0.7 percent to 12,944.88 and the S&P 500 rising 0.1 percent to 1,371.82.

Asian markets closed mostly lower, however, as traders focused on data released Friday showing China’s economy slowed to a 8.1 percent growth rate in the January-March quarter, the slowest in almost three years. In the fourth quarter, growth was 8.9 percent.

Japan’s Nikkei slid 1.4 percent to 9,502.95, bruised also by a higher yen. The dollar fell to 80.56 yen from 81.10 yen.

South Korea’s Kospi was down 0.9 percent at 1,990.84 after the Bank of Korea lowered its 2012 economic growth outlook to 3.5 percent, from a December estimate of 3.7 percent, Yonhap news agency reported.

Hong Kong’s Hang Seng fell 0.7 percent to 20,559.03 and Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 lost 0.4 percent to 4,304.40. Benchmarks in Singapore, Taiwan, Mumbai and Indonesia also fell.

Benchmark oil for May delivery was up 18 cents to $103.01 per barrel in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange. The contract fell 81 cents to finish at $102.83 per barrel on the Nymex on Friday.

Source

April 5, 2012

Service Industries in U.S. Kept Expanding in March: Economy - Bloomberg

Filed under: business, mortgage — Tags: , , , — ManInBlack @ 9:08 am

Service industries in the U.S. grew in March, capping the strongest quarter in a year and indicating the world

March 13, 2012

EU Joins U.S., Japan in Challenging China

Filed under: business, legal — Tags: , , , — ManInBlack @ 4:04 pm

The U.S., the European Union and Japan complained at the World Trade Organization today over Chinese limits on exports of rare earths that are critical to the world

February 28, 2012

Audit blasts state-sponsored insurer

Filed under: business, online — Tags: , , , — ManInBlack @ 2:04 am

JEFFERSON CITY – A state-sponsored workers’ compensation company has given out huge severance checks to its former executives and hefty bonuses to other employees, according to a state audit released today.

The company, Columbia-based Missouri Employers Mutual Insurance Co., also has bankrolled lavish vacation trips to Hawaii and Mexico as well as paid for sporting events tickets for its board members, executives, employees and guests, the auditor found.

The audit paints a picture of a firm that operates like a private entity, while enjoying federal tax-exempt status and other advantages that its private competitors lack.

Because it is considered an “independent public corporation,” the company has been able to avoid about $50 million in federal taxes since 1993, the audit revealed. That tax exemption has enabled the company to accumulate a surplus of $163 million. The firm has never paid any dividends to its members.

“MEM essentially operates as a private entity, compensates officers and employees at rates that are in excess of public sector entities, incurs expenses that are not considered acceptable in the public sector, and does so without complying with state open records laws,” the audit states.

Missouri Auditor Tom Schweich released the findings today. He undertook the audit after the Post-Dispatch raised questions last year about MEM’s public records policy and the legal status of its board members, along with its executive compensation and other expenditures. The auditor concluded that MEM is a “quasi-public governmental body for purposes of the Sunshine Law” – and thus subject to public records requests.

In a formal response filed with the audit, the company said: “The auditor’s report raises some immaterial, questionable expenditures that MEM already had identified and addressed prior the audit. MEM’s new management has strengthened governmental policies to be sure that expense policies are clearly understood and followed and that the company follows best practices. MEM’s board and management are responsible stewards who operate with integrity.”

The Legislature established Missouri Employers Mutual in 1993 to encourage competition and lower workers’ compensation premiums for employers, particularly small businesses. The state provided a start-up loan of $5 million, which was repaid in 1999 with interest.

Since then, Missouri Employers Mutual has become the leading workers’ compensation insurer in the state, controlling about 16 percent of the market.

The firm’s inner workings drew questions last spring after two former board members were indicted separately for alleged theft and fraud involving other organizations. Questions mounted in June when the company fired its chief executive officer, former Missouri Gov. Roger Wilson, without explanation.

In August, the board agreed to a one-time audit by Schweich. Amid the swirling controversy, both indicted board members – Doug Morgan and Karen Pletz – died late last year. The company is now run by chief executive officer Jim Owen of Chesterfield, a law school classmate and close friend of Gov. Jay Nixon’s.

The 20-page audit sheds light on MEM’s executive compensation, perks, severance benefits, freebies, and political contributions, as well as legal questions surrounding the company’s taxes and refusal to observe public records laws.

According to the audit, MEM also paid about $1.58 million in severance benefits or settlement payments to four former top executives and employees who either resigned or whose employment was terminated in 2009 and 2010.

Schweich’s audit does not name names, so it is impossible to tell who received the severance money. Former state Sen. Dennis Smith served as the company’s first chief executive from 1994 through June 2009, when he became “CEO emeritus.”

The audit called the severance benefits “excessive” and said that “recent discussions with a MEM official indicate that any future severance benefits paid to executives will be substantially reduced, or eliminated.”

Executive compensation at MEM also “appears significantly higher than would be considered appropriate for a public sector entity,” the audit states.

During 2010, MEM’s top 10 compensated employees made salaries totaling $1.8 million. The top salary was $312,820.

In addition to their salaries, MEM paid its top 10 executives a total of $659,405 in incentives, for an average bonus of $65,940. In other words, when bonuses are counted on top of salaries, the top 10 employees were paid an average almost $250,000 apiece.

Lower-level MEM employees also received substantial bonuses, based on the company’s “performance benchmarks” such as premium growth.

“Compensation and employee incentive bonuses for 2010 totaled over $17 million for approximately 200 employees, an average total payout of approximately $85,000 per employee,” the audit said.

MEM executives also received valuable perks such as the use of company automobiles, paid health insurance coverage for a spouse, five weeks paid time off, paid dues in professional societies and paid memberships in golf and athletic clubs.

Responding to the audit, MEM wrote that its “compensation and expenses are reasonable and necessary for a mutual insurance company. … MEM’s employee compensation averages in the 50th percentile” of other private insurers.

The audit also highlights numerous miscellaneous expenditures that MEM paid:

 A total of $300,000 for an all-inclusive “Presidents Trip” for 64 invitees including MEM board members, top executives, top performing employees, and other guests to Lanai, Hawaii, from Feb. 20 through Feb. 25, 2010. In 2009, MEM’s board chairman, vice chairman and their guests attended the company’s President’s Trip to Cabo San Lucas, Mexico. About $17,000 for St. Louis Cardinals suite tickets. The suite was used to entertain insurance agents as an incentive to doing business with MEM. The tickets were purchased from an unnamed associate of a former board member. About $60,000 for a suite, tickets, and parking passes for University of Missouri football games; an additional $12,000 for basketball tickets and parking passes; and about $5,000 to cater its tailgate party at the university’s homecoming in 2010. $80,000 for company functions in 2010, including $10,000 for a board of directors retreat in Ridgeville, Mo.; $16,000 for MEM’s annual golf tournament; about $8,800 for 15-year anniversary jackets; and about $7,000 for a 15-year anniversary luncheon.

In addition, the audit challenges MEM’s $7.2 million purchase of a for-profit subsidiary. Under state law, the auditor concluded, it is unclear whether the company may legally insure workers who work outside the state.

The audit also noted that MEM conducted an internal inquiry, which revealed that company funds were used for $8,000 in political contributions to the Missouri Democratic Party; $7,400 in cash and in-kind donations to the Insurance Coalition Political Action Committee; $4,000 in donations to gubernatorial inaugural festivities in 2005 and 2009; and $8,000 for a former top executive’s personal legal fees.

The audit is likely to raise additional questions in the Legislature about whether Missouri Employers Mutual should continue to enjoy tax-free status and other advantages over private insurers.

Originally, the company was supposed to become a private firm after the governor appointed the original five board members. But instead, the state has retained control. The governor appoints three of the firms’ five board members, based on nominations from the board and policyholders.

The structure is authorized in company bylaws but not in state law. Schweich said he took no position on whether MEM can prolong its public corporation status beyond that allowed by law by amending its bylaws.

MEM contended that it faces special mandates that partially offset its tax advantages. For example, it must let any of the 4,000 workers compensation insurance agents in the state write a policy for MEM. The company also is required to design and monitor work safety programs for policyholders.

Schweich said the firm was unable to quantify the impact of those requirements.

Source

February 10, 2012

U.K. House Prices Fall to Lowest in Six Months on Concerns About Economy - Bloomberg

Filed under: business, small business — Tags: , , , — ManInBlack @ 5:16 am

U.K. house prices fell to their lowest level in six months in January as concern increased about the outlook for the economy and the euro-area debt crisis, Acadametrics Ltd. and LSL Property Services Plc said.

The average price of a home in England and Wales fell 0.2 percent from December to 218,992 pounds ($346,840), the groups said in an e-mailed report in London. From a year earlier values fell 1.4 percent, the quickest pace since September.

December 26, 2011

Rubber Demand in China to Slow in 2012 as Auto Sales Decline, Okachi Says - Bloomberg

Filed under: business, marketing — Tags: , , , — ManInBlack @ 9:00 pm

Natural rubber demand in China, the world

December 14, 2011

India inflation stays above 9 percent in November

Filed under: business, legal — Tags: , , , — ManInBlack @ 2:32 pm

India’s inflation rate remained above 9 percent in November, leaving the central bank with little leeway to reverse interest rate hikes that have choked growth in Asia’s third-largest economy.

The plunging value of the rupee, which hit a fresh record low against the dollar Wednesday, is pushing up the cost of fuel and manufactured products even as big increases in food prices start to wane, government figures showed.

Although November’s 9.1 percent inflation rate was the lowest in a year, it remains far above government targets.

“The concern about inflation cannot be taken away from the monetary authority,” C. Rangarajan, chairman of the Prime Minister’s Economic Advisory Council, told reporters.

The country’s economic problems have been exacerbated by a deadlocked Parliament and the weakness of the ruling Congress Party. Measures that could encourage investment and growth have been stalled by political bickering. Uncoordinated fiscal and monetary policy hasn’t helped either.

India’s economy grew 6.9 percent in the September quarter, the slowest in over two years and industrial output has contracted for the first time in over two years.

Many economists and business people say India needs to enact difficult but crucial reforms to kickstart the economy and reassure investors. Government officials, in contrast, have emphasized the global factors dragging on the investment cycle, and some seem to hope lower interest rates will offer a quick fix instead.

“There is a slowdown across the world,” said Ajay Shankar, secretary of the government’s National Manufacturing Competitiveness Council fast cash without a hassle. “The interest rate should come down. Then you get a better investment climate.”

Thirteen rate hikes since March 2010 haven’t tamed inflation, which has topped 9 percent in 20 of the last 22 months. The central bank is widely expected to hold rates steady this week.

D.K. Joshi, chief economist at research and ratings agency Crisil, said without the Reserve Bank of India’s aggressive rate hikes, inflation would have likely soared above 10 percent.

The central bank’s anti-inflation stance has been weakened by government spending in the run up to important state elections and fuel price hikes, which have been needed to keep the government’s ballooning fuel subsidy bill in check.

“The demand created through government expenditure has offset some of the moves of RBI, that’s having an impact,” Joshi said. “The fuel inflation has been kept suppressed. Now when you have a fiscal burden you have to pass that on to the consumer.”

The rupee has plunged over 20 percent since July and hit a fresh low of 53.76 on Wednesday. That’s bad news for a country that runs a current account deficit and imports about three quarters of its oil. Rising wages and raw material costs have also hit manufacturers.

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